What is the 4% rule?

The 4% rule is a retirement planning guideline: withdraw around 4% per year from your portfolio (adjusted over time) to reduce the risk of running out.

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Plain-English explanation

If you have a $1,000,000 portfolio, 4% is about $40,000 per year. The idea is to choose a withdrawal rate that historically had a good chance of lasting across many market conditions.

Why people like it

Why you shouldn’t treat it as a rule

Spending flexibility, market returns, fees, inflation, and your time horizon all matter. Some people use 3–3.5% for more caution.

FAQ

Does 4% mean I’ll never run out?

No. It reduces risk based on past data, but future markets can differ.

Should I use 3% instead?

If you want a more conservative plan, try 3–3.5% and see what portfolio target that implies.

Is the 4% rule for 30 years only?

It’s often discussed around 30 years, but many people adapt it. Longer retirements may need more conservative assumptions.

Does it assume stocks and bonds?

Many discussions assume a diversified portfolio. This site uses simplified assumptions for education.

How do I calculate my target?

Use /retire.html with your desired income and withdrawal rate to estimate a target nest egg.

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